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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion Promotion Playoff

29 May 2026 19:00 UTC

REAL MADRID CASTILLA vs SABADELL

Final 2:0

Real Madrid Castilla won Last goal: Real Madrid Castilla

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Pol Fortuny — Real Madrid Castilla
  2. ⚽ Cesar Palacios — Real Madrid Castilla

Model predictions were

Nice call
37%
1X2
Real Madrid Castilla
Result: Real Madrid Castilla
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 200 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 769 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 745 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 43% (Weak)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
518 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
382 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
510 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
292 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
617 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
693 predictions

Match overview

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Over/Under
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Score 2:2