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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion Promotion Playoff

30 May 2026 19:00 UTC

PONFERRADINA vs ATLETICO MADRILENO

Final 0:0

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Iker Luque (straight red) — Atletico Madrileno

Model predictions were

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 770 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 746 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
519 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
363 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
511 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
293 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
618 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
694 predictions

Match overview