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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion Promotion Playoff

13 Jun 2026 16:30 UTC

PONFERRADINA vs CELTA FORTUNA

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Ponferradina
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 98 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 777 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 755 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 77 past matches

1X2 22% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
526 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
366 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
520 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
457 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
625 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
701 predictions

Match overview