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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion Promotion Playoff

07 Jun 2026 14:15 UTC

CELTA FORTUNA vs CE EUROPA

Final 3:2

Celta Fortuna advanced Last goal: Celta Fortuna

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jordi Cano — CE Europa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hugo González (penalty) — Celta Fortuna
  2. ⚽ Hugo González (penalty) — Celta Fortuna
  3. ⚽ Jordi Cano (penalty) — CE Europa

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Angel Arcos — Celta Fortuna

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Celta Fortuna
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: Celta Fortuna
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 96 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 775 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 751 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
523 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
364 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
516 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
454 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
622 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
698 predictions

Match overview