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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion Promotion Playoff

31 May 2026 14:15 UTC

CE EUROPA vs CELTA FORTUNA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Celta Fortuna

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Jordi Cano — CE Europa

2nd half

  1. Andres Antanon — Celta Fortuna

Model predictions were

Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 201 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 771 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 747 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
520 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
383 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
512 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
294 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
619 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
695 predictions

Match overview