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Uruguay · Segunda Division

31 May 2026 12:30 UTC

HURACAN FC vs LA LUZ

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: La Luz

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sergio Cortelezzi (penalty) — Huracan FC
  2. ⚽ Joaquin Gottesman (penalty) — La Luz

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Huracan FC
Result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
19%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 232 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 169 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 31 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
132 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
75 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
111 predictions
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
143 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
159 predictions

Match overview

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No prediction yet
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Plaza Colonia vs Huracan FC
1X2 Prediction is being generated.
Both teams to score —
Over/Under
1.5 — 2.5 — 3.5 — 4.5 —
Score — : —
Almanac Moment
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1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1