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Uruguay · Segunda Division

31 May 2026 18:30 UTC

RIVER PLATE vs ATENAS

Final 0:2

Atenas won Last goal: Atenas

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Maicol Borba — Atenas

2nd half

  1. Lucas Cascallares — Atenas
  2. 🟥 (straight red) — River Plate

Model predictions were

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 232 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 169 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 42% (Weak)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
132 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
75 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
111 predictions
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 3.5 27% (Weak)
26 predictions
Total 4.5 20% (Weak)
10 predictions

Match overview