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01 Jun 2026 00:00 UTC

ORIENTAL vs TACUAREMBO FC

Final 2:0

Oriental won Last goal: Oriental

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Nicolás Kozlovsky — Oriental

2nd half

⚽ Cristian Franco — Oriental

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Oriental

Result: Oriental

47%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

65%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

76%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

13%

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 52 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 235 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 172 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 47% (Average)

Total 1.5 53% (Average)

Total 2.5 51% (Average)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 88% (Strong)

Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 44% (Weak)

Total 1.5 60% (Good)

Total 2.5 56% (Good)

Total 3.5 65% (Good)

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)

135 predictions

Both teams to score 44% (Weak)

77 predictions

Total 1.5 65% (Good)

114 predictions

Total 2.5 34% (Weak)

65 predictions

Total 3.5 82% (Strong)

145 predictions

Total 4.5 93% (Strong)

161 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for Oriental vs Tacuarembo FC. The match ended 2-0 in Uruguay · Segunda Division. The model leaned toward Oriental with a low-confidence projection (39.3%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (64.8%) appeared as a fairly even projection and was confirmed by the match.

Over 2.5 goals (37.2%) did not land, both teams to score (46.5%) was not confirmed. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 88.4% of matches across a sample of 172 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 43.8% in a sample of 48 team involvements.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

ORIENTAL vs TACUAREMBO FC

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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