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Uruguay · Segunda Division

25 May 2026 21:00 UTC

MIRAMAR MISIONES vs FENIX

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Fenix

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alex de Freitas — Miramar Misiones

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Andres Barboza — Fenix

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
22%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 73 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 165 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 27 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 89% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 22% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
36 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
108 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
139 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview