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Uruguay · Segunda Division

30 May 2026 22:00 UTC

COLON vs MIRAMAR MISIONES

Final 1:3

Miramar Misiones won Last goal: Colon

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Andres Olivera (straight red) — Colon
  2. Bruno Abbate — Miramar Misiones
  3. Nicolas Latorre — Miramar Misiones

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Maximiliano Ohaco (straight red) — Colon
  2. Bruno Abbate — Miramar Misiones
  3. Lucas Suarez — Colon

Model predictions were

As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 229 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 166 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 32 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
129 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
105 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
156 predictions

Match overview