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Uruguay · Segunda Division

30 May 2026 16:00 UTC

URUGUAY MONTEVIDEO vs PLAZA COLONIA

Final 2:0

Uruguay Montevideo won Last goal: Uruguay Montevideo

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mathias Goyeni — Uruguay Montevideo
  2. ⚽ Cristian Lima — Uruguay Montevideo
  3. 🟥 — (straight red) — Plaza Colonia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Plaza Colonia
90-minute result: Uruguay Montevideo
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 229 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 166 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 31 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 32% (Weak)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
129 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
73 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
109 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
156 predictions

Match overview