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South America · Copa Libertadores · Copa Libertadores Grp. D

29 May 2026 00:30 UTC

BOCA JUNIORS vs UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA

Final 0:1

Universidad Catolica won Last goal: Boca Juniors

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Clemente Montes — Universidad Catolica

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Boca Juniors
90-minute result: Universidad Catolica
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 105 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 100 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
48 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
73 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
84 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
90 predictions

Match overview