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South America · Copa Libertadores · Copa Libertadores Grp. E

28 May 2026 00:30 UTC

CLUB ATLETICO PENAROL vs SANTA FE

Final 0:1 Almanac Moment

Santa Fe won Last goal: Santa Fe

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alexis Zapata — Santa Fe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Santa Fe
90-minute result: Santa Fe
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
69%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 99 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 94 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 10 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 30% (Weak)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 90% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
68 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
46 predictions
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
25 predictions
Total 2.5 80% (Strong)
51 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
78 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
84 predictions

Match overview