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South America · Copa Libertadores · Copa Libertadores Grp. H

27 May 2026 22:00 UTC

LIBERTAD vs UNIVERSIDAD CENTRAL

Final 0:1

Universidad Central won Last goal: Universidad Central

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juan Cuesta — Universidad Central

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Universidad Central
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
69%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 14% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 93 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 90 completed matches.

1X2 13% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 13% (Weak)
23 predictions
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
67 predictions
Total 2.5 81% (Strong)
48 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
74 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
80 predictions

Match overview