← Back to matches

South America · Copa Libertadores · Copa Libertadores Grp. D

29 May 2026 00:30 UTC

CRUZEIRO vs BARCELONA SC

Final 4:0

Cruzeiro won Last goal: Cruzeiro

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Matheus Pereira — Cruzeiro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Christian — Cruzeiro
  2. ⚽ Luis Sinisterra — Cruzeiro
  3. ⚽ Matheus Pereira — Cruzeiro

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Cruzeiro
90-minute result: Cruzeiro
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
69%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 105 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 100 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
48 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
73 predictions
Total 2.5 80% (Strong)
55 predictions
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
84 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
90 predictions

Match overview