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South America · Copa Libertadores · Copa Libertadores Grp. C

28 May 2026 00:30 UTC

BOLIVAR vs INDEPENDIENTE RIVADAVIA

Final 1:3

Independiente Rivadavia won Last goal: Independiente Rivadavia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Leonel Bucca — Independiente Rivadavia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Martín Cauteruccio — Bolivar
  2. ⚽ Sebastián Villa — Independiente Rivadavia
  3. ⚽ Diego Crego — Independiente Rivadavia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Bolivar
90-minute result: Independiente Rivadavia
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
25%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 99 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 94 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 25% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
68 predictions
Both teams to score 31% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
69 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
43 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
78 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
84 predictions

Match overview