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South America · Copa Libertadores · Copa Libertadores Grp. F

28 May 2026 22:00 UTC

PALMEIRAS vs JUNIOR FC

Final 4:1

Palmeiras won Last goal: Palmeiras

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jhon Arias — Palmeiras
  2. ⚽ Luis Muriel — Junior FC
  3. ⚽ Allan — Palmeiras
  4. ⚽ Jhon Arias — Palmeiras

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Andreas Pereira — Palmeiras

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Palmeiras
90-minute result: Palmeiras
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
62%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 99 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 96 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 14 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 57% (Good)
Both teams to score 29% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 79% (Strong)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
69 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
46 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
71 predictions
Total 2.5 81% (Strong)
52 predictions
Total 3.5 89% (Strong)
80 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
86 predictions

Match overview