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Uruguay · Segunda Division

23 May 2026 16:00 UTC

ATENAS vs PAYSANDU

Final 3:2

Atenas won Last goal: Atenas

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nicolas Suarez (penalty) — Atenas
  2. ⚽ Franco Lopez — Paysandu

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Vicente Pesce — Paysandu
  2. ⚽ Nicolas Suarez — Atenas
  3. ⚽ Matias Nunez — Atenas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Paysandu
90-minute result: Atenas
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 223 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 160 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
126 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
56 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
101 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
150 predictions

Match overview