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Uruguay · Segunda Division

23 May 2026 19:00 UTC

RENTISTAS vs RIVER PLATE

Final 1:2

River Plate won Last goal: Rentistas

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Facundo Perez — River Plate
  2. ⚽ Inti López — River Plate
  3. ⚽ Douglas Jardel — Rentistas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: River Plate
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 223 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 160 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 27 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
34 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
68 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
101 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
150 predictions

Match overview