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Uruguay · Segunda Division

24 May 2026 00:00 UTC

TACUAREMBO FC vs COLON

Final 2:0

Tacuarembo FC won Last goal: Tacuarembo FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pablo López — Tacuarembo FC
  2. ⚽ Joaquin Moreira — Tacuarembo FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Tacuarembo FC
90-minute result: Tacuarembo FC
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 225 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 162 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
127 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
69 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
105 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
59 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
152 predictions

Match overview