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Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga ECL Playoff

25 May 2026 15:00 UTC

RAPID WIEN vs RIED

Final 3:0

Rapid Wien won Last goal: Rapid Wien

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jakob Schoeller — Rapid Wien

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jakob Schoeller — Rapid Wien
  2. ⚽ Louis Schaub — Rapid Wien

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Rapid Wien
90-minute result: Rapid Wien
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 193 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 190 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
142 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
119 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
156 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
112 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
162 predictions

Match overview