← Back to matches

Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga ECL Playoff

22 May 2026 17:30 UTC

RIED vs RAPID WIEN

Final 2:1

Ried won Last goal: Ried

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nikki Havenaar — Ried

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Romeo Amané — Rapid Wien
  2. ⚽ Joris Boguo — Ried

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Rapid Wien
90-minute result: Ried
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 192 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 189 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
141 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
118 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
111 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
56 predictions
Total 4.5 7% (Weak)
27 predictions

Match overview