← Back to matches

Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Championship Group

17 May 2026 12:30 UTC

AUSTRIA WIEN vs LASK

Final 0:3 Almanac Moment

LASK won Last goal: LASK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Xavier Mbuyamba — LASK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Samuel Adeniran (penalty) — LASK
  2. ⚽ Melayro Bogarde — LASK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
LASK
90-minute result: LASK
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
7%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 188 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 185 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 45% (Weak)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
137 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
152 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
158 predictions

Match overview