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Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Relegation Group

16 May 2026 15:00 UTC

ALTACH vs RIED

Final 2:0

Altach won Last goal: Altach

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Patrick Greil (penalty) — Altach

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Martin Rasner (2nd yellow) — Ried
  2. ⚽ Yann Massombo (penalty) — Altach

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Ried
90-minute result: Altach
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 185 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 182 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
135 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
76 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
127 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview