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Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Relegation Group

16 May 2026 15:00 UTC

BW LINZ vs GRAZER AK

Final 0:3 Almanac Moment

Grazer AK won Last goal: Grazer AK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Christian Lichtenberger — Grazer AK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alexander Hofleitner — Grazer AK
  2. ⚽ Daniel Maderner — Grazer AK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
39%
1X2
Grazer AK
90-minute result: Grazer AK
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
10%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 185 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 182 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
135 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
150 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
127 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview