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Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Clausura Playoff

25 May 2026 01:00 UTC

CLUB UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL vs CRUZ AZUL

Final 1:2

Cruz Azul won Last goal: Cruz Azul

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Robert Morales — Club Universidad Nacional

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rubén Duarte (own goal) — Cruz Azul
  2. 🟥 Uriel Antuna (straight red) — Club Universidad Nacional
  3. 🟥 Angel Rico (straight red) — Club Universidad Nacional
  4. ⚽ Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi — Cruz Azul

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Cruz Azul
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 107 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 336 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 328 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 77 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
87 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
206 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
266 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
259 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
300 predictions

Match overview