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Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Clausura Playoff

18 May 2026 01:00 UTC

CLUB UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL vs PACHUCA

Final 1:0

Club Universidad Nacional won Last goal: Club Universidad Nacional

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jordán Carrillo — Club Universidad Nacional

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Pachuca
90-minute result: Club Universidad Nacional
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 64 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 334 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 326 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 70 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
239 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
120 predictions
Total 1.5 15% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
155 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
257 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
298 predictions

Match overview