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Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Clausura Playoff

14 May 2026 02:00 UTC

CRUZ AZUL vs CD GUADALAJARA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Cruz Azul

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Santiago Sandoval — CD Guadalajara
  2. ⚽ Carlos Rodriguez — Cruz Azul

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ángel Sepúlveda — CD Guadalajara
  2. ⚽ Christian Ebere (penalty) — Cruz Azul

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 105 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 331 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 323 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
85 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
203 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
262 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
153 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
255 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
295 predictions

Match overview