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Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Clausura Playoff

15 May 2026 01:00 UTC

PACHUCA vs CLUB UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL

Final 1:0

Pachuca won Last goal: Pachuca

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Oussama Idrissi — Pachuca

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Eduardo Bauermann (straight red) — Pachuca

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Pachuca
90-minute result: Pachuca
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 332 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 324 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
238 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
204 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
263 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
170 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
296 predictions

Match overview