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Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Clausura Playoff

17 May 2026 01:07 UTC

CD GUADALAJARA vs CRUZ AZUL

Final 1:2

Cruz Azul won Last goal: Cruz Azul

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jeremy Márquez — Cruz Azul
  2. ⚽ Omar Govea — CD Guadalajara

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Agustín Palavecino — Cruz Azul

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Cruz Azul
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 106 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 333 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 325 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
86 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
205 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
264 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
171 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
297 predictions

Match overview