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Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Clausura Playoff

11 May 2026 01:15 UTC

CLUB UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL vs CF AMERICA

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: CF America

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Rubén Duarte — Club Universidad Nacional
  2. ⚽ Nathan Silva — Club Universidad Nacional
  3. ⚽ Jordán Carrillo — Club Universidad Nacional
  4. ⚽ Patricio Salas — CF America
  5. ⚽ Álex Zendejas (penalty) — CF America

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Álex Zendejas — CF America

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
CF America
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 330 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 322 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 68 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
237 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
202 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
261 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
169 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
254 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
294 predictions

Match overview