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Estonia · Meistriliiga

20 May 2026 16:00 UTC

NOMME JK KALJU vs HARJU JALGPALLIKOOL

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Nomme JK Kalju won Last goal: Nomme JK Kalju

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aleksandr Nikolajev — Nomme JK Kalju
  2. 🟥 Aleksandr Nikolajev (straight red) — Nomme JK Kalju

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Nomme JK Kalju
90-minute result: Nomme JK Kalju
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 143 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
109 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
52 predictions
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
98 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
122 predictions

Match overview