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Estonia · Meistriliiga

20 May 2026 16:00 UTC

NARVA TRANS vs PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND

Final 1:0

Narva Trans won Last goal: Narva Trans

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ German Slein — Narva Trans

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Paide Linnameeskond
90-minute result: Narva Trans
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 143 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
109 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
118 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
80 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
98 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
122 predictions

Match overview