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Estonia · Meistriliiga

24 May 2026 14:00 UTC

PARNU JK VAPRUS vs FCI LEVADIA

Final 1:6

FCI Levadia won Last goal: FCI Levadia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mark Lepik — Parnu JK Vaprus
  2. ⚽ Bubacarr Tambedou — FCI Levadia
  3. ⚽ Matthias Limberg (own goal) — FCI Levadia
  4. ⚽ Mihkel Ainsalu — FCI Levadia
  5. ⚽ Wendell — FCI Levadia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Wendell — FCI Levadia
  2. ⚽ Joao Pedro — FCI Levadia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
FCI Levadia
90-minute result: FCI Levadia
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:6

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 168 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 146 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
112 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
119 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
81 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 14% (Weak)
21 predictions

Match overview