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Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Championship Group

10 May 2026 15:00 UTC

LASK vs SALZBURG

Final 2:1

LASK won Last goal: Salzburg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Samuel Adeniran — LASK
  2. ⚽ Kasper Joergensen — LASK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Karim Konaté — Salzburg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
45%
1X2
LASK
90-minute result: LASK
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 182 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 179 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
133 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
112 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
104 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
152 predictions

Match overview