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Poland · Ekstraklasa

17 May 2026 15:30 UTC

LECHIA GDANSK vs LEGIA WARSZAWA

Final 1:2

Legia Warszawa won Last goal: Legia Warszawa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jean-Pierre Nsame — Legia Warszawa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tomás Bobcek — Lechia Gdansk
  2. 🟥 Ivan Zhelizko (2nd yellow) — Lechia Gdansk
  3. ⚽ Antonio Colak — Legia Warszawa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Lechia Gdansk
90-minute result: Legia Warszawa
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 35 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 283 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 284 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
198 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
224 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
147 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
222 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
250 predictions

Match overview