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Poland · Ekstraklasa

15 May 2026 16:00 UTC

ZAGLEBIE LUBIN vs POGON SZCZECIN

Final 0:1

Pogon Szczecin won Last goal: Pogon Szczecin

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hussein Ali — Pogon Szczecin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Zaglebie Lubin
90-minute result: Pogon Szczecin
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 87 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 278 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 279 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
194 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
102 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
59 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
145 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
218 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
246 predictions

Match overview