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Poland · Ekstraklasa

15 May 2026 18:30 UTC

KORONA KIELCE vs WIDZEW LODZ

Final 1:0

Korona Kielce won Last goal: Korona Kielce

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dawid Blanik — Korona Kielce

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
Korona Kielce
90-minute result: Korona Kielce
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 87 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 278 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 279 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
194 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
177 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
220 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
134 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
218 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
246 predictions

Match overview