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Switzerland · Challenge League

15 May 2026 18:15 UTC

FC RAPPERSWIL-JONA vs FC STADE NYONNAIS

Final 2:1

FC Rapperswil-Jona won Last goal: FC Rapperswil-Jona

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Juan Ghia — FC Stade Nyonnais
  2. ⚽ Davide Muzzi — FC Rapperswil-Jona

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Davide Muzzi — FC Rapperswil-Jona
  2. 🟥 Shahin Edougue (straight red) — FC Stade Nyonnais

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
FC Rapperswil-Jona
90-minute result: FC Rapperswil-Jona
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 173 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 168 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
119 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
86 predictions
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
151 predictions

Match overview