← Back to matches

Switzerland · Challenge League

11 May 2026 18:15 UTC

FC STADE NYONNAIS vs FC STADE LAUSANNE-OUCHY

Final 1:3

FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy won Last goal: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Hugo Fargues — FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mayka Okuka — FC Stade Nyonnais
  2. ⚽ Vasco Tritten — FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
  3. ⚽ Keasse Bah — FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 168 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 163 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
47 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
102 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
125 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
115 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
147 predictions

Match overview