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Switzerland · Challenge League

15 May 2026 18:15 UTC

FC STADE LAUSANNE-OUCHY vs NEUCHATEL XAMAX FCS

Final 2:1

FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy won Last goal: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Vasco Tritten — FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jesse Hautier — Neuchatel Xamax FCS
  2. ⚽ Nicola Sutter — FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Neuchatel Xamax FCS
90-minute result: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 173 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 168 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
119 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 1.5 15% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
82 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
118 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
151 predictions

Match overview