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Switzerland · Challenge League

08 May 2026 18:15 UTC

FC STADE LAUSANNE-OUCHY vs AC BELLINZONA

Final 5:0

FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy won Last goal: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nathan Garcia — FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
  2. ⚽ Sutter — FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
  3. 🟥 Duvan Mosquera (straight red) — AC Bellinzona

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Vasco Tritten — FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
  2. ⚽ Malko Sartoretti — FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
  3. ⚽ François Mendy — FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
90-minute result: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 163 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 158 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
112 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
122 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
83 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 4.5 13% (Weak)
15 predictions

Match overview