← Back to matches

Switzerland · Challenge League

08 May 2026 18:15 UTC

FC WIL 1900 vs YVERDON SPORT FC

Final 0:1 Almanac Moment

Yverdon Sport FC won Last goal: Yverdon Sport FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Antonio Marchesano — Yverdon Sport FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Yverdon Sport FC
90-minute result: Yverdon Sport FC
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
7%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 163 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 158 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
112 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 1.5 14% (Weak)
36 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
75 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
111 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
143 predictions

Match overview