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Estonia · Meistriliiga

01 May 2026 14:00 UTC

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND vs TAMMEKA

Final 0:1

Tammeka won Last goal: Tammeka

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Patrick Veelma (penalty) — Tammeka

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
Paide Linnameeskond
90-minute result: Tammeka
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 15% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 151 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 129 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
96 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
106 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
56 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
86 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
109 predictions

Match overview