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Netherlands · Eredivisie

03 May 2026 14:45 UTC

SPARTA ROTTERDAM vs GO AHEAD EAGLES

Final 2:2

Top match Draw Last goal: Go Ahead Eagles

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Shunsuke Mito · assist Tobias Lauritsen — Sparta Rotterdam

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Victor Edvardsen — Go Ahead Eagles
  2. ⚽ Tobias Lauritsen · assist Mitchell van Bergen — Sparta Rotterdam
  3. ⚽ Julius Dirksen · assist Victor Edvardsen — Go Ahead Eagles
  4. 🟥 Oskar Sivertsen (2nd yellow) — Go Ahead Eagles

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
41%
1X2
Go Ahead Eagles
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
49%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
89%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
64%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
68%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
79%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 282 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
211 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
246 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
101 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
182 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
242 predictions

Match overview