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Netherlands · Eredivisie

03 May 2026 12:30 UTC

FORTUNA SITTARD vs FEYENOORD

Final 1:2

Top match Feyenoord won Last goal: Feyenoord

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kaj Sierhuis · assist Dimitrios Limnios — Fortuna Sittard
  2. 🟥 Paul Gladon (straight red) — Fortuna Sittard
  3. ⚽ Tsuyoshi Watanabe — Feyenoord
  4. ⚽ Givairo Read · assist Oussama Targhalline — Feyenoord

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
31%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Feyenoord
Solid call
65%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
89%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
64%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
68%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
79%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 84 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 282 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
71 predictions
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
189 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
246 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
101 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
182 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
242 predictions

Match overview