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Netherlands · Eredivisie

02 May 2026 14:30 UTC

FC UTRECHT vs NAC BREDA

Final 2:0

FC Utrecht won Last goal: FC Utrecht

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Mohamed Nassoh (straight red) — NAC Breda

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dani de Wit · assist Jesper Karlsson — FC Utrecht
  2. ⚽ Adrian Blake · assist David Min — FC Utrecht

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
31%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FC Utrecht
Off target
65%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
89%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
64%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
68%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
79%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 83 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 275 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 278 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
70 predictions
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
187 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
242 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
179 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
238 predictions

Match overview