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Netherlands · Eredivisie

03 May 2026 12:30 UTC

PEC ZWOLLE vs HERACLES

Final 1:0

PEC Zwolle won Last goal: PEC Zwolle

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Anselmo MacNulty · assist Ryan Thomas — PEC Zwolle

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Sem Scheperman (2nd yellow) — Heracles

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
Favorite
29%
1X2
PEC Zwolle
90-minute result: PEC Zwolle
Nice call
49%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
89%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
66%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
79%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
4:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 282 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
211 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
246 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
181 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
100 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
242 predictions

Match overview