← Back to matches

Netherlands · KNVB Cup

05 Feb 2026 19:00 UTC

TELSTAR vs GO AHEAD EAGLES

Final 2:1

Telstar won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Soufiane Hetli — Telstar

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alfons Sampsted — Go Ahead Eagles
  2. ⚽ Jeff Hardeveld — Telstar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Telstar
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
45%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 53 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 52 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 46% (Average)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 20% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 15% (Weak)
13 predictions
Both teams to score 70% (Strong)
30 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
42 predictions
Total 2.5 26% (Weak)
19 predictions
Total 3.5 37% (Weak)
27 predictions
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
42 predictions

Match overview