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Netherlands · KNVB Cup

04 Feb 2026 20:00 UTC

PSV EINDHOVEN vs SC HEERENVEEN

Final 4:1

PSV Eindhoven won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Esmir Bajraktarevic — PSV Eindhoven
  2. ⚽ Esmir Bajraktarevic — PSV Eindhoven

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ivan Perisic — PSV Eindhoven
  2. ⚽ Paul Wanner — PSV Eindhoven
  3. ⚽ Luca Oyen — SC Heerenveen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
PSV Eindhoven
90-minute result: PSV Eindhoven
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 51 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 50 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 46% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
37 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
20 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
41 predictions
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
32 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
40 predictions

Match overview